Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.607615 0.674144 0.746106 0.829922 0.925101 1.030099 1.155071
2025-08-24 0.505515 0.597653 0.705114 0.840540 1.007818 1.209177 1.472184
2025-08-31 0.440540 0.542902 0.668372 0.835112 1.053331 1.332631 1.722719
2025-09-07 0.397840 0.506782 0.645760 0.838627 1.103431 1.460331 1.988325
2025-09-14 0.358727 0.469510 0.615564 0.825703 1.126138 1.549390 2.207717
2025-09-21 0.328374 0.440087 0.591687 0.816915 1.150844 1.640602 2.438424
2025-09-28 0.295735 0.404194 0.554960 0.785060 1.136884 1.670992 2.576691
2025-10-05 0.282244 0.393788 0.552828 0.802611 1.197379 1.819540 2.922153
2025-10-12 0.269249 0.382786 0.548473 0.815674 1.251205 1.962244 3.276587
2025-10-19 0.255834 0.369952 0.540043 0.821076 1.292387 2.087564 3.617072
2025-10-26 0.243615 0.357908 0.531654 0.825349 1.331394 2.212491 3.973864
2025-11-02 0.233555 0.348384 0.526294 0.833756 1.377699 2.354652 4.384188
2025-11-09 0.218190 0.329723 0.505369 0.814771 1.374864 2.408592 4.630519
2025-11-16 0.210011 0.322024 0.501693 0.825097 1.426069 2.570510 5.129802
2025-11-23 0.199603 0.309963 0.489832 0.819788 1.447266 2.675937 5.523308
2025-11-30 0.191675 0.301450 0.483262 0.823227 1.485118 2.818733 6.025678
2025-12-07 0.181640 0.288771 0.468651 0.810583 1.489962 2.893294 6.379430
2025-12-14 0.173064 0.278063 0.456755 0.801985 1.501889 2.984022 6.788797
2025-12-21 0.161593 0.261740 0.433943 0.770815 1.464506 2.962189 6.907246
2025-12-28 0.158265 0.259423 0.436034 0.787988 1.529798 3.178621 7.694946
2026-01-04 0.154477 0.256052 0.435948 0.800771 1.586885 3.383518 8.494620
2026-01-11 0.149871 0.250950 0.432315 0.806056 1.627956 3.555584 9.237794
2026-01-18 0.145397 0.245835 0.428323 0.810237 1.666886 3.727470 10.018795